Category: Complex Systems

Guest Post: Battle of the Curves: The Coronavirus Versus Human Decision Making (Part 1)

“Democracy depends on an informed populace. Yet the world is now a complex system, so we must democratize technology that helps us make good decisions, despite the complexity. This is now possible, and just...

Guest Post: The Decision Command Fallacy (Part 3)
How to avoid unintended consequences of decisions in complex environments

In Part 2 of this article, I explained that, without careful thought, intervention in a complex situation will, more often than not, lead to unintended consequences. If we don’t lift our game, I promise...

Guest Post: The Decision Command Fallacy (Part 2)
How to avoid unintended consequences of decisions in complex environments

Decision failure patterns in complex environments The two decision failures I covered in Part 1 have different causes, but follow similar patterns. The hit man example is a case of “throwing the baby out...