Decision Intelligence and the Tragedy of the Commons
Please take a careful look at the above diagram (it is a simple Causal Decision Diagram (CDD), as described in Link). It is, by my understanding, one of the most important patterns we face...
Category: Dependencies
Artificial intelligence and human limits
Are we getting dumber? Or is stuff just harder? Both are true. Between-silo problems are the new bottleneck. We’re inundated with information, so we take cognitive short cuts. And “wicked” problems keep getting...
Necessary, but not sufficient
When asked “who created Apple?”, it’s tempting to say Steve Jobs did it. The truth is that, although he may have been necessarily, he was not sufficient. Similarly Bill Gates, who (as Malcolm Gladwell...
Guest Post: A knowledge management system capable of blinking red
Inattention to critical knowledge is an old problem. Lessons are forgotten, near misses are ignored, caution is dismissed, disasters result. Titanic. Bhopal. AIG. Katrina. Fukushima. And on and on. Knowledge Management (KM) is supposed...
The magical diminishing returns link, and why it can fix government budgeting (and yours, too)
A couple of years ago, I was honored to be invited to help with a US government budget. My team and I would fly to Washington, take the metro into Union Station, and meet...
Getting the links right: Sketch graphs, AHP, ML, and more.
Cause-and-effect links live at the heart of complex systems. And understanding them means we can go beyond historical data to understand situations we haven’t faced before, using piecewise causal links from the past to...
