In Part 1 of this two-part post, we introduced the challenge of how, despite having created a well-formed CDD, the actions chosen by a decision maker may never actually be taken. Here, we present...
When we build decision models, there is often a particularly satisfying moment. After mapping a complex situation with a causal decision diagram (CDD), the system finally reveals itself, and the decision mapping participants can breathe a sigh...
This is my final post in this series, where I pull everything together. In Connecting Decisions to Data I introduced a Decision Intelligence case study where a manager needs to make three decisions about...
In my Connecting Decisions to Data post I introduced a Decision Intelligence case study where a manager needs to make three decisions about a new product’s first production run. Then I identified three decision...
In the last post, I introduced a case study for a product manager. Here, I’ll show you the basics for how to build the corresponding decision model and introduce the Causal Decision Diagram (CDD)...
Have you ever wondered just how many decisions you will make today? In your lifetime? Though difficult to measure, researchers have estimated that the average adult makes anywhere from a few thousand to 35,000...
In Part 2 of this article, I described why it’s particularly challenging for people to take the right actions in the face of the coronavirus. Now I’ll show you the solution. The solution “…The...
In Part 1 of this article, I described the general problem of making decisions in complex environments, along with a decision I made in the face of the coronavirus. Here, I’ll show you how...
“Democracy depends on an informed populace. Yet the world is now a complex system, so we must democratize technology that helps us make good decisions, despite the complexity. This is now possible, and just...
Please take a careful look at the above diagram (it is a simple Causal Decision Diagram (CDD), as described in Link). It is, by my understanding, one of the most important patterns we face...
