Category: Wicked Problems

The #COVID19 Driver’s Seat

I caught COVID19 in March, a few weeks after breaking my arm badly enough to need surgery.  I made it through, but along the way, and with the perspective afforded by a lot of...

Guest Post: The Decision Command Fallacy (Part 3)
How to avoid unintended consequences of decisions in complex environments

In Part 2 of this article, I explained that, without careful thought, intervention in a complex situation will, more often than not, lead to unintended consequences. If we don’t lift our game, I promise...

Guest Post: The Decision Command Fallacy (Part 2)
How to avoid unintended consequences of decisions in complex environments

Decision failure patterns in complex environments The two decision failures I covered in Part 1 have different causes, but follow similar patterns. The hit man example is a case of “throwing the baby out...

Bowie and Mack

Why Causal Decision Diagrams are the Most Important New Development in Solving the Most Complex Problems (and what that has to do with dogs)

Lately, I’m surrounded by dogs: mostly service dogs, who are able to learn sophisticated behaviors and help their handlers in miraculous ways. And so I’ve been reading a bit of dog training theory. Surprisingly,...