Decision Intelligence and the Tragedy of the Commons
Please take a careful look at the above diagram (it is a simple Causal Decision Diagram (CDD), as described in Link). It is, by my understanding, one of the most important patterns we face...
Link | Decision Intelligence, Complexity, Machine Learning
Towards Assured, Agile, Applied AI/ML/DI
As shown in the figure above, and as I have written about previously, AI is entering the mainstream, analogous to software engineering of a couple of decades ago. The challenges associated with successful AI/ML...
Why Causal Decision Diagrams are the Most Important New Development in Solving the Most Complex Problems (and what that has to do with dogs)
Lately, I’m surrounded by dogs: mostly service dogs, who are able to learn sophisticated behaviors and help their handlers in miraculous ways. And so I’ve been reading a bit of dog training theory. Surprisingly,...
What should we do about “bad” AI?
OpenAI has built an AI that it suspects may be too dangerous to release to the public. What should it do? Sorry to say, but the technology train is hard to stop. Whatever OpenAI...
Big Decisions, Small Data: Eight Key Principles
Conquering the most important problems faced by complex organizations often requires great models, not “big data”: in many situations, better decisions can be made with imperfect or incomplete data. As storage and processing costs...
Machine Learning Software Engineering: Top Five Best Practices
Back in the day when coding was new, as soon as software team was hired for a project, management would command: “code”. No design, no planning, no requirements, no oversight, nor QA. After too...
Machine Learning Classic Mistakes, Best Practices, and Epic Fails: experiences from over 30 years of applied projects
I and my teams have been delivering machine learning projects for about three decades, from work on the Human Genome Project in the 1980s through sensor fusion for the Department of Energy for hazardous...
Decision modeling together, to save the world
Organizations like the Millennium Project, certain government agencies, companies from the smallest to large transnationals, and the United Nations have recognized that, in a complex world, the risk of decisions that lead to unintended...
Guest Post: Why is Decision Intelligence a new field?
One of the first questions that occurred to me during my summer internship this year was “what is Decision Intelligence”? And is it really so different than AI? As part of my blog series,...
Guest Post: Shifting at the Edge: Gandhi, AI, and Beyond
Gandhi predicted that both capitalism and communism would eventually fail.[1] He proposed a third system, called trusteeship,[2] which held tremendous promise. Yet today’s world is much more complex than the one that Gandhi inhabited, and so we...